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Momentum Investment

Objective: Gain for 20% to 300% in 3 to 6 months period

There are 7 steps to choose a momentum share:
1. Choose a sector or industry in the cycle
2. Continue have a stable income growth and estimated from analysis
3. Positive shareholding by insider or institution
4. Stable revenue growth and high ROE
5. High Market Sentiment
6. Share price near by or at the point of buying
7. Positive Technical Analysis
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Saturday, October 15, 2011

Value Based Investment

Objective: Target return of 15% to 25% in a year

There are 9 criteria of Value Based Investment:

1. Historical revenue, profit and cash flow consistently increase
2. Stable competitive advantages
3. Future growth incentive
4. Moderate debt level
5. Above average ROE
6. Low operating expenses level in maintaining daily operation
7. Management holding or buying company's share
8. Share price below the real value
9. Share price in a strengthening stage or uptrend stage

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Clarity is Power

要把事情说清楚,目标列明确,重覆的看,越清晰越好,这就是力量。

Thursday, August 4, 2011

Coastal Contract的再一次投机

买进日期:4/8/2011
预计卖出:5/9/2011

Coastal基本分析: 
1. 管理层为黄氏家族,可信任。
2. 盈利每年持续上涨,每个季度盈利也越来越高。
3. 本益比低廉,以现在的盈利来计算只有5.82倍,价值被低估。
4. 股息一般。
5. 第二季度的业绩报告将在这个月里公布,预计会有上升的盈利。

买入原因:
公司第二个季度的报告将在本月份公布。公司的订单维持,并积极争取更多订单,预计盈利将可以持续上扬。在分红股后公司的股价经过调整后有反弹现象,现在又再次跌倒接近调整时的价位。股价相等于红股前的RM3.25,价钱相当吸引。
HWANGDBS在7月尾的研究报告给予此股买进的评级,并且设立目标价为RM3.90有56%的上升空间。现在以RM2.42或以下的价格买入此股。
以本益比8倍计算,股价预计走高到RM3.30,估计盈利达36%。
保守估计至少股价会走高至RM2.70,估计盈利为11%。

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